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One of the most disgusting and least self-aware passages in any of the tens of thousands of published pages of FOMC discussions was in reference... [Read More]
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The term decoupling was invented in early 2008 really because of oil prices. It was widely believed that though the US economy might stumble that... [Read More]
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The Russian ruble has fared far and away much better than its EM peers. Compared to something like the Brazilian real, there is no comparison.... [Read More]
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Home construction estimates are notoriously variable. They can change oftentimes by a substantial amount on a month-by-month basis, and the numbers are just as... [Read More]
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Originally published July 18, 2018 Jerome Powell will make his fourth required appearance of 2018 on Capitol Hill today. The Full Employment and Balanced Growth... [Read More]
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It's funny how these things work. He didn't actually say the word taper, at least not when the frenzy first started. The very idea of... [Read More]
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Sentiment surveys such as the ISM's Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index are not strictly about current levels of production. Even if they were, they still w... [Read More]
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Sometimes it pays to wait. Better to be sure than premature. In January 2014, the journal Central Banking handed out its inaugural awards. Among the... [Read More]
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For the second half of 2015, how dicey did it really get in China? It's difficult to assess going by something like real GDP given... [Read More]
It would be easier if we could just know the right amount of oil futures backwardation. The literal answer for the question of what's the... [Read More]
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